Exit-poll data: you can't debate the election without it

Lessig's posted a barn-burner of a blog entry on the fact that the wildly incongruous exit-poll data from the election hasn't been made public, which means that no one can really assess the allegations of wrongdoing at the polls.
I don't think there was a conspiracy to suppres the Bush vote, nor do I think Diebold stole the election for Bush -- but there are obvious puzzles that need to be resolved. First, there is Morris' point -- exit polls are just not that wrong. Second, there are the insanely inverted county votes in the many heavily Democratic counties in Florida that had their votes counted by optical scan (and tallied by Diebold machines among others). Why were the polls so bad? Why did Democrats in those counties overwhelmingly defect to the President while remaining "liberal" in their other votes?

These are questions of fact that can be answered, or at least understood, if the facts were known. The Exit Poll Consortium should enable that knowledge. It would be a relatively simple regression to map exit poll data against counties or precincts with suspect machines. More importantly, it would be relatively easy to isolate where, if anywhere, suspicion should be directed.

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Cory Doctorow

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